Publications

In Press

Maron, M., M. G. E. Mitchell, R. K. Runting, J. R. Rhodes, G. M. Mace, D. A. Keith, and J. E. M. Watson. In press (accepted January 2017). Towards a threat assessment framework for ecosystem services. Trends in Ecology & Evolution.

McAlpine, C., G. Brearley, J. R. Rhodes, A. Bradley, G. Baxter, L. Seabrook, D. Lunney, Y. Liu, M. Cottin, A. G. Smith, and P. Timms. In press (accepted December 2016). Time-delayed influence of urban landscape change on the susceptibility of koalas to chlamydiosis. Landscape Ecology.

Runge, C., A. I. T. Tulloch, A. Gordon, and J. R. Rhodes. In press (accepted April 2017). Quantifying the conservation gains of shared access to linear infrastructure. Conservation Biology.

Shoo, L. P., C. P. Catterall, S. Nicol, R. Christian, J. R. Rhodes, P. Atkinson, D. Butler, R. Zhu, and Kerrie A. Wilson. In press (accepted October 2016). Navigating complex decisions in restoration investment. Conservation Letters.

2017

Carretero-Pinzon, X, T. R. Defler, C. A. McAlpine, and J. R. Rhodes. 2017. The influence of landscape relative to site and patch variables on primate distributions in the Colombian Llanos. Landscape Ecology 32:883-896.

Runting, R. K., B. A. Bryan, L. E. Dee, F. J.F. Maseyk, L. Mandle, P. Hamel, K. A. Wilson, K. Yetka, H. P. Possingham, and J. R. Rhodes. 2017. Incorporating climate change into ecosystem service assessments and decisions: A review. Global Change Biology 23:28-41.

Runting, R. K., C. E. Lovelock, H. L. Beyer, and J. R. Rhodes. 2017. Costs and opportunities for preserving coastal wetlands under sea level rise. Conservation Letters 10:49-57.

2016

Adams-Hosking, C., M. F. McBride, G. Baxter, M. Burgman, D. de Villiers, R. Kavanagh, I. Lawler, D. Lunney, A. Melzer, P. Menkhorst, R. Molsher, B. D. Moore, D. Phalen, J. R. Rhodes, C. Todd, D. Whisson, and C. A. McAlpine. 2016. Use of expert knowledge to elicit national population trends for the koala (Phascolarctos cinereus). Diversity and Distributions 22:249-262.

Caynes, R. J. C., M. G. E. Mitchell, D. S. Wu, K. Johansen, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Using high-resolution LiDAR data to quantify the three-dimensional structure of vegetation in urban green space. Urban Ecosystems 19:1749-1765.

Carretero-Pinzón, X., T. R. Defler, C. A. McAlpine, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. What do we know about the effect of patch size on primate species across life history traits? Biodiversity and Conservation 25:37-66.

Cattarino, L., C. M. McAlpine, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Spatial scale and movement behaviour traits control the impacts of habitat fragmentation on individual fitness. Journal of Animal Ecology 85:168-177.

Dudaniec, R. Y., J. Worthington Wilmer, J. O. Hanson, M. Warren, S. Bell, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Dealing with uncertainty in landscape genetic resistance models: a case of three co-occurring marsupials. Molecular Ecology 25:470-486.

Lechner, A. M. and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Recent progress on spatial and thematic resolution in landscape ecology. Current Landscape Ecology Reports 1:98-105.

Lunney, D., M. Predavec, I. Miller, I. Shannon, M. Fisher, C. Moon, A. Matthews, J. Turbill, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Interpreting patterns of population change in koalas from long-term datasets in Coffs Harbour on the north coast of New South Wales. Australian Mammalogy 38: 29-43.

Mantyka-Pringle, C. S., T. G. Martin, D. B. Moffatt, J. Udy, J. Olley, N. Saxton, F. Sheldon, S. E. Bunn, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Prioritizing management actions for the conservation of freshwater biodiversity under changing climate and land-cover. Biological Conservation 197:80-89.

Mitchell, M. G. E., D. Wu, K. Johansen, M. Maron, C. McAlpine, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Landscape structure influences urban vegetation vertical structure. Journal of Applied Ecology 53: 1477-1488.

Southwell, D. M., J. R. Rhodes, E. McDonald-Madden, S. Nicol, K. Helmstedt, M. A. McCarthy. 2016. Abiotic and biotic interactions determine whether increased colonization is beneficial or detrimental to metapopulation management. Theoretical Population Biology 109:44-53.

Tulloch, A. I. T., P. Sutcliffe, I. Naujokaitis-Lewis, R. Tingley, L. Brotons, K. M.P.M.B. Ferraz, H. Possingham, A. Guisan, and J. R. Rhodes. 2016. Conservation planners ignore improved accuracy of modelled species distributions to focus on multiple threats and ecological processes. Biological Conservation 199:157-171.

2015

Auerbach, N., K. Wilson, A. Tulloch, J. R. Rhodes, J. O. Hanson, and H. Possingham. 2015. Effects of threat management interactions on conservation priorities. Conservation Biology 29:1626-1635.

Adams-Hosking, C., C. A. McAlpine, J. R. Rhodes, P. T. Moss, and H. S. Grantham. 2015. Prioritising regions to conserve a specialist folivore: considering probability of occurrence, food resources and climate change. Conservation Letters 8:162-170.

Bunton, J. D., A. T. Ernst, J. O. Hanson, H. L. Beyer, E. Hammill, C. A. Runge, O. Venter, H. P. Possingham, and J. R. Rhodes. 2015. Integrated planning of linear infrastructure and conservation offsets. Pages 1427-1433 in T. Weber, M. McPhee, and R. S. Anderssen, editors. MODSIM 2015, 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2015, http://mssanz.org.au/modsim2015/F13/bunton.pdf.

Chadès, I., T. Tarnpolskaya, S. Dunstall, J. R. Rhodes, and A. Tulloch. 2015. A comparison of adaptive management and real options approaches for environmental decisions under  uncertainty. Pages 1056-1062 in T. Weber, M. McPhee, and R. S. Anderssen, editors. MODSIM 2015, 21st International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, December 2015, http://mssanz.org.au/modsim2015/E6/chades.pdf.

Mantyka-Pringle C., P. Visconti, M. Di Marco, T. Martin, C. Rondinini, and J. R. Rhodes. 2015. Climate change mediates risk of global biodiversity loss due to land-cover change. Biological Conservation 187:103-111.

Martinez-Harms, M. J., B. A. Bryan, P. Balvanera, E. A. Law, J. R. Rhodes, H. P. Possingham, and K. A. Wilson. 2015. Making decisions for managing ecosystem services. Biological Conservation 184:229-238.

Maxwell, S. L., E. J. Milner-Gulland, J. P. G. Jones, A. T. Knight, N. Bunnefeld, P. Bal, S. Earle, J. E. M. Watson, and J. R. Rhodes. 2015. Being smart about SMART environmental targets. Science 347:1075-1076.

Maxwell, S. L., J. R. Rhodes, M. C. Runge, H. P. Possingham, C. F. Ng, and E. McDonald-Madden. 2015. How much is new information worth? Evaluating the financial benefit of resolving management uncertainty. Journal of Applied Ecology 52:12-20.

Mitchell, M. G. E., A. F. Suarez Castro, M. Martinez-Harms, M. Maron, C. A. McAlpine, K. J. Gaston, K. Johansen, and J. R. Rhodes. 2015. Reframing landscape fragmentation’s effects on ecosystem services. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 30:190-198.

Mitchell, M. G. E., A. F. Suarez Castro, M. Martinez-Harms, M. Maron, C. A. McAlpine, K. J. Gaston, K. Johansen, and J. R. Rhodes. 2015. Landscape fragmentation and ecosystem services: a reply to Andrieu et al. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 30:634-635 (correspondence).

Morante-Filho, J. S., D. Faria, E. Mariano-Neto, and J. R. Rhodes. 2015.  Birds in anthropogenic landscapes: the responses of ecological groups to forest loss in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. PLOS ONE 10:e0128923.

Rhodes, J. R. 2015. Mixture models for overdispersed data. Pages 284-308 in G. Fox, S. Negrete, and V. Sosa-Fernandez, editors. Ecological Statistics: Contemporary Theory and Application. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.

Santika, T., C. A. McAlpine, D. Lunney, K. A. Wilson, and J. R. Rhodes. 2015. Assessing spatio-temporal priorities for species’ recovery in broad-scale dynamic landscapes. Journal of Applied Ecology 52:832-840.

Wilson, H. B., J. R. Rhodes, and H. P. Possingham. 2015. Two additional principles for determining which species to monitor. Ecology 96:3016-3022.

2014

Cattarino, L., C. A. McAlpine, and J. R. Rhodes. 2014. Land-use drivers of forest fragmentation vary with spatial scale. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23:1215-1224.

Helmstedt, K. J., H. P. Possingham, K. E. C. Brennan, J. R. Rhodes, and M. Bode. 2014. Cost-efficient fenced reserves for conservation: single large or two small? Ecological Applications 24:1780-1792.

Lechner, A., C. Raymond, V. Adams, M. Polyakov, A. Gordon, J. R. Rhodes, M. Mills, A. Stein, C. Ives, and T. Lefroy. 2014. Characterizing spatial uncertainty when integrating social data in conservation planning. Conservation Biology 28:1497-1511.

Lunney, D., E. Stalenberg, T. Santika, and J. R. Rhodes. 2014. Extinction in Eden: identifying the role of climate change in the decline of the koala in south-east NSW. Wildlife Research 41:22-34.

Mantyka-Pringle, C. S., T. G. Martin, D. B. Moffatt, S. Linke, and J. R. Rhodes. 2014. Understanding and predicting the combined effects of climate change and land-use change on freshwater macroinvertebrates and fish. Journal of Applied Ecology 51:572-581.

Maxwell, S. L., J. R. Rhodes, P. Bal, N. Bunnefeld, A. T. Knight, S. Earle, E. J. Milner-Gulland, J. P. G. Jones, A. Nuno, and J. E. M. Watson. 2014. Sustainability: root targets in consensus . Nature 514:434 (correspondence).

Ng, C. F., H. P. Possingham, C. A. McAlpine, D. L. de Villiers, H. J. Preece, and J. R. Rhodes. 2014. Impediments to the success of management actions for species’ recovery. PLOS ONE 9:e92430.

Polak, T., J.R. Rhodes, D. Jones, and H. P. Possingham. 2014. Optimal planning for mitigating the impacts of roads on wildlife. Journal of Applied Ecology 51:726-734.

Rhodes, J. R., D. Lunney, J. Callaghan, and C. A. McAlpine. 2014. A few large roads or many small ones? How to accommodate growth in vehicle numbers to minimise impacts on wildlife. PLOS ONE 9:e91093.

Santika, T., C. A. McAlpine, D. Lunney, K. A. Wilson, and J. R. Rhodes. 2014. Modelling species distributional shifts across broad spatial extents by linking dynamic occupancy models with public-based surveys. Diversity and Distributions 20:786-796.

Seabrook, L., C. McAlpine, J. R. Rhodes, G. Baxter, A. Bradley, and D. Lunney. 2014. Determining range edges: habitat quality, climate or climate extremes? Diversity and Distributions 20:95-106.

Shoo, L. P., J. O’Mara, K. Perhans, J. R. Rhodes, R. Runting, S. Schmidt, L. W. Traill, L. C. Weber, K. A. Wilson, and C. E. Lovelock. 2014. Moving beyond the conceptual: specificity in regional climate change adaptation actions for biodiversity in South East Queensland, Australia. Regional Environmental Change 14:435-447.

Tanner-McAllister, S. L., J. R. Rhodes, and M. Hockings. 2014. Community and park manager’s perceptions of protected area management and climate change: A southeast Queensland study. Australasian Journal of Environmental Management 21:320-336.

2013

Brearley, G., J. R. Rhodes, A. Bradley, G. Baxter, L. Seabrook, D. Lunney, Y. Liu, C. McAlpine. 2013. Wildlife disease prevalence in human-modified landscapes: a review. Biological Reviews 88:427-442.

Cattarino, L., C. A. McAlpine, and J. R. Rhodes. 2013. The consequences of interactions between dispersal distance and resolution of habitat clustering for dispersal success. Landscape Ecology 28:1321-1334.

Cristecu R., J. R. Rhodes, C. Frere, and P. Banks. 2013. Is restoring flora the same as restoring fauna? Lessons learned from koalas and mining rehabilitation. Journal of Applied Ecology 50:423-431.

Davies, N., G. Gramotnev, C. McAlpine, L. Seabrook, G. Baxter, D. Lunney, J. R. Rhodes, and A. Bradley. 2013. Physiological stress of koala populations near the arid edge of their distribution. PLOS ONE 8:e79136.

Davies, N., G. Gramotnev, L. Seabrook, A. Bradley, G. Baxter, J. R. Rhodes, D. Lunney, and C. McAlpine. 2013. Movement patterns of an arboreal marsupial at the edge of its range: a case study of the koala. Movement Ecology 1:8.

Dudaniec, R. Y., J. R. Rhodes, J. Worthington Wilmer, M. Lyons, K. E. Lee, C. A. McAlpine, and F. N. Carrick. 2013. Using multi-level models to identify drivers of landscape genetic structure among management areas. Molecular Ecology 22:3752-3765.

Guisan, A., R. Tingley, J. B. Baumgartner, I. Naujokaitis-Lewis, P. R. Sutcliffe, A. I. T. Tulloch, T. J. Regan, L. Brotons, E. McDonald-Madden, C. Mantyka-Pringle, T. G. Martin, J. R. Rhodes, R. Maggini, S. A. Setterfield, J. Elith, M. W. Schwartz, B. A. Wintle, O. Broennimann, M. Austin, S. Ferrier, M. R. Kearney, H. P. Possingham, and Y. M. Buckley. 2013. Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions. Ecology Letters 16:1424-1435.

Maron M., J. R. Rhodes, and P. Gibbons. 2013. Calculating the benefit of conservation actions. Conservation Letters 6:359-367.

McAlpine, C.A., L. M. Seabrook, T. Morrison, and J. R. Rhodes. 2013. Strengthening Landscape Ecology’s contribution to a sustainable environment. Pages 21-35 in B. Fu and B. Jones, editors. Landscape Ecology for Sustainable Environment and Culture. Springer, New York, USA.

Runting, R., K. Wilson, and J. R. Rhodes. 2013. Does more mean less? The value of information for conservation planning under sea level rise. Global Change Biology 19:352-363.

Smith, A. G., C. A. McAlpine, J. R. Rhodes, D. Lunney, L. Seabrook, and G. Baxter. 2013. Out on a limb: habitat use of a specialist folivore, the koala, at the edge of its range in a modified semi-arid landscape. Landscape Ecology 88:427-442.

Smith, A. G., C. McAlpine, J. R. Rhodes, L. Seabrook, D. Lunney, and G. Baxter. 2013. Are there habitat thresholds in koala occupancy in the semiarid landscapes of the Mulgalands Bioregion? Wildlife Research 40:413-426.

Smith, A. G., C. A. McAlpine, J. R. Rhodes, L. Seabrook, G. Baxter, D. Lunney, and A. Bradley. 2013. At what spatial scales does resource selection vary? A case study of koalas in a semi-arid region. Austral Ecology 38:230-240.

Sushinsky, J. R., J. R. Rhodes, H. P. Possingham, T. K. Gill, and R. A. Fuller. 2013. How should we grow our cities to minimise biodiversity impacts? Global Change Biology 19:401-410.

2012

Adams-Hosking, C., C. McAlpine, J. R. Rhodes, H. S. Grantham, and P. T. Moss. 2012. Modelling changes in the distribution of the critical food resources of a specialist folivore in response to climate change. Diversity and Distributions 18:847-860.

Andrade, G. and J. R. Rhodes. 2012. Protected areas and local communities: an inevitable partnership towards successful conservation strategies?  Ecology & Society 17:14.

Mantyka-Pringle, C. S., T. G. Martin, and J. R. Rhodes. 2012. Interactions between climate and habitat loss effects on biodiversity: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Global Change Biology 18:1239-1252.

2011

Adams-Hosking, C., H. S. Grantham, J. R. Rhodes, C. A. McAlpine, and P. T. Moss. 2011. Modelling climate change-induced shifts in the distribution of the koala. Wildlife Research 38:122-130.

Adams-Hosking, C., P. T. Moss, J. R. Rhodes, H. S. Grantham, and C. A. McAlpine. 2011. Modelling the potential range of the koala at the Last Glacial Maximum: future conservation implications. Australian Zoologist 35:983-990.

Callaghan, J., C. A. McAlpine, J. Thompson, D. Mitchell, M. E. Bowen, J. R. Rhodes, C. de Jong, R. Sternberg, and A. Scott. 2011. Ranking and mapping koala habitat quality for conservation planning based upon indirect evidence of tree species use: a case study of Noosa Shire, southeast Queensland. Wildlife Research 38:89-102.

Rhodes, J. R. and N. Jonzén. 2011. Monitoring temporal trends in spatially structured populations: how should sampling effort be allocated between space and time? Ecography 34:1040-1048.

Rhodes, J. R., D. Lunney, C. Moon, A. Matthews, and C. A. McAlpine. 2011. The consequences of using indirect signs that decay to determine species’ occupancy. Ecography 34:141-150.

Rhodes, J. R., C. F. Ng, D. L. de Villiers, H. J. Preece, C. A. McAlpine, and H. P. Possingham. 2011. Using integrated population modelling to quantify the implications of multiple threatening processes for a rapidly declining population. Biological Conservation 144:1081-1088.

Seabrook, L., C. McAlpine, G. Baxter, J. Rhodes, A. Bradley, and D. Lunney. 2011. Drought-driven change in wildlife distribution and numbers: a case study of koalas in south west Queensland. Wildlife Research 38:509-524.

Traill, L. W., K. Perhans, C. E. Lovelock, A. Prohaska, S. McFallan, J. R. Rhodes, and K. A. Wilson. 2011. Managing for change: wetland transitions under sea-level rise and outcomes for threatened species. Diversity and Distributions 17:1225-1233.

2010

McAlpine, C. M., M. E. Bowen, and J. R. Rhodes. 2010. Landscape and regional perspectives from eastern Australia. Pages 231-240 in D. Lindenmayer, A. Bennett, and R. Hobbs, editors. Temperate Woodland Conservation and Management. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood, Australia.

McAlpine, C. A., L. Seabrook, J. R. Rhodes, M. Maron, M. E. Bowen, B. Price, O. Powell, J. G. Ryan, C. T. Fyfe, S. Butler, C. M. Adams-Hosking, A. Smith, O. Robertson, A. Howes, L. Cattarino. 2010. Can a problem-solving approach strengthen landscape ecology’s contribution to sustainable landscape planning? Landscape Ecology 25:1155-1168.

Morrison, T. H., C. McAlpine, J. R. Rhodes, A. Peterson, and P. Schmidt. 2010. Back to the Future? Planning for environmental outcomes and the new Caring for our Country program. Australian Geographer 41:521-538.

2009

Rhodes, J. R., C. A. McAlpine, A. F. Zuur, G. M. Smith, and E. N. Ieno. 2009. GLMM applied on the spatial distribution of koalas in a fragmented landscape. Pages 469-492 in A. F. Zuur, E. N. Ieno, N. J. Walker, A. A. Saveliev, and G. M. Smith, editors. Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R. Springer, New York, USA.

2008

McAlpine, C. A., J. R. Rhodes, M. E. Bowen, D. Lunney, J. G. Callaghan, D. L. Mitchell, and H. P. Possingham. 2008. Can multi-scale models of a species’ distribution be generalised from region to region? A case study of the koala. Journal of Applied Ecology 45:558-567.

Rhodes, J. R., J. G. Callaghan, C. A. McAlpine, C. de Jong, M. E. Bowen, D. L. Mitchell, D. Lunney, and H. P. Possingham. 2008. Regional variation in habitat-occupancy thresholds: a warning for conservation planning. Journal of Applied Ecology 45: 549-557.

Rhodes, J. R., E. P. M. Grist, K. W. H. Kwok, and K. M. Y. Leung. 2008. A Bayesian mixture model for estimating inter-generation chronic toxicity. Environmental Science & Technology 42: 81018-8114.

Rhodes, J. R., C. A. McAlpine, A. Peterson, J. G. Callaghan, D. Lunney, H. P. Possingham, D. L. Mitchell, and T. Curran. 2008. Linking landscape ecology to planning for koala conservation. Australian Planner 45:24-25.

2007

Hayes, D., E. Fulton, S. A. Condie, J. Rhodes, R. Porter-Smith, K. Astles, and G. Cui. 2007. Ecosystem modelling, a tool for sustainable regional development. Pages 2806-2812 in L. Oxley and D. Kulasiri, editors. MODSIM 2007 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim07/papers/51_s26/EcosystemModelings26_Hayes_.pdf.

Lunney, D., S. M. Gresser, L. E. O’Neil, A. Matthews, and J. R. Rhodes. 2007. The impact of fire and dogs on koalas at Port Stephens, New South Wales, using population viability analysis. Pacific Conservation Biology 13: 189-201.

2006

McAlpine, C. A., M. E. Bowen, J. G. Callaghan, D. Lunney, J. R. Rhodes, D. L. Mitchell, D. V. Pullar, and H. P. Possingham. 2006. Testing alternative models for the conservation of koalas in fragmented rural-urban landscapes. Austral Ecology 31: 529-544.

McAlpine, C. A., J. R. Rhodes, J. G. Callaghan, M. E. Bowen, D. Lunney, D. L. Mitchell, D. V. Pullar, and H. P. Possingham. 2006. The importance of forest area and configuration relative to local habitat factors for conserving forest mammals: a case study of koalas in Queensland, Australia. Biological Conservation 132: 153-165.

Rhodes, J. R., A. J. Tyre, N. Jonzén, C. A. McAlpine, and H. P. Possingham. 2006. Optimizing presence-absence surveys for detecting population trends. Journal of Wildlife Management 70: 8-18.

Rhodes, J. R., T. Wiegand, C. A. McAlpine, J. Callaghan, D. Lunney, M. Bowen, and H. P. Possingham. 2006. Modeling species’ distributions to improve conservation in semiurban landscapes: koala case study. Conservation Biology 20: 449-459.

2005

Jonzén, N., J. R. Rhodes, and H. P. Possingham. 2005. Trend detection in source-sink systems: when should sink habitats be monitored? Ecological Applications 15:326-334.

Martin, T. G., B. A. Wintle, J. R. Rhodes, P. M. Kuhnert, S. A. Field, S. J. Low Choy, A. J. Tyre, and H. P. Possingham. 2005. Zero tolerance ecology: improving ecological inference by modelling the source of zero observations. Ecology Letters 8: 1235-1246.

Rhodes, J. R., C. A. McAlpine, D. Lunney, and J. Callaghan. 2005. Evaluating natural resource management strategies under parameter uncertainty: an outranking approach applied to koala conservation. Pages 2540-2546 in A. Zerger, and R. M. Argent, editors. MODSIM 2005 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim05/papers/rhodes.pdf.

Rhodes, J. R., C. A. McAlpine, D. Lunney, and H. P. Possingham. 2005. A spatially explicit habitat selection model incorporating home range behavior. Ecology 86: 1199-1205.

2004

Field, S. A., A. J. Tyre, N. Jonzén, J. R. Rhodes, and H. P. Possingham. 2004. Minimizing the cost of environmental management decisions by optimizing statistical thresholds. Ecology Letters 7:669-675.

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